FROM "NOT LARRY SABATO"

POSTING:
Via RK, I saw the new Democracy Corps Memo, that shows the most vulnerable races in 2008 around the U.S. Listed as "Tier 1" vulnerable was Tom Davis' seat which makes a lot of sense since it will likely be open. Listed as "Tier 2" vulnerable was Thelma Drake's seat which again makes sense since she won in a very close election against a lackluster campaign in 2006.But what is really strange, almost unexplainable is Bob Goodlatte being listed as "Tier 2" vulnerable. To who? That seat is the second most reliable Republican seat in Virginia, only behind the 7th District held by Eric Cantor. I can not think of a single person who could even pull within 10 points of Goodlatte here. Even if he retired, I'm not sure Democrats could stay within 10 points in an open seat race against Chris Saxman, Mark Obenshain, Ben Cline, Morgan Griffith or whoever the GOP decided to run.
Anybody have any idea what I am missing here?

COMMENT:
Better watch Sam Rasoul in action as a campaigner before saying that Goodlatte has no real opposition.Sam is energetic beyond most candidate's dreams, has excellent ideas about how to run a campaign, and has started early. He knows the odds and is willing to work for a victory. Plus...since Goodlatte is my congressman...I can vouch for the fact that lots of people in the district wish he had kept his promise not to run after 5 terms. We're tired of this particular Bushit lover.
Posted by: roanoke dem August 05, 2007 at 09:36 PM